Archive for March, 2009

Matt Simmons Interview 2009 March Reality Check

Sunday, March 22nd, 2009

Excellent in-depth interview with Matt Simmons (43 minutes, flash video). That is on the oil drum, the actual Reality Check page requires some viewer or other.

This is one of the most comprehensive overviews of the entire oil production and peaking process I have ever heard, and Matt Simmons speaks extremely clearly, without the aid of the somewhat annoying powerpoint presentations he tends to favor.

This is a one on one interview that covers his writings and analysis over the past 16 years. As he says: what has amazed him most is just how wrong the mainstream views have been, and continue to be.

This guy knows what he’s talking about, with one glaring exception: his belief that the global economy can function when it’s paying producers more than 100 or so a barrel.
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The Rolling Stone – The Big Takeover – AIG

Sunday, March 22nd, 2009

I’m not going to quote this article, it’s too in-depth to really paraphrase, just read it: The Rolling Stone – The Big Takeover. It’s nice to see the Rolling Stone return to some top quality journalism. Hopefully investigative journalism isn’t something only practiced after the fact now though..

The global economic crisis isn’t about money – it’s about power. How Wall Street insiders are using the bailout to stage a revolution

This is, in my opinion, almost certainly true. This is why you have high tax rates, by the way, it’s the only real way to stop these criminals from accumulating too much wealth, which then becomes power, which is then used to create new conditions to accumulate even more wealth, forming a cycle that can end only in full economic collapse, since greed knows no bounds, and will never restrain itself.

There’s a reason greed is one of the 7 cardinal sins.

And high tax rates do not mean 40%, they mean 90%. This is why, for example, Russia imposed very high oil tax rates on the oligarch’s oil companies as well, to stop the theft via overproduction of Russia’s finite resources. The sooner we begin to view these Wall Street parasites as oligarchs and non-productive, destructive, in fact, members of socieity, the sooner we will be able to restore some part of our failing system.

But one thing you can rest absolutely assured of: it will never be the same.

Also be sure to read The Asia Times recent article on AIG and the collapsing US economy and political system. I’m getting to like the Asia Times more and more, they have a distinctly cutting and non-corporate view that is absolutely refreshing nowadays.

Matt Simmons: G’day America

Saturday, March 14th, 2009

Here’s one from www.worldenergy.tv, a 30+ minute talk by Matt Simmons, G’day America in Australia recently.

I think this one is worth watching in its entirety to get a sense of where we are, the economic situation, his view on the prices now, infrastructure, etc.

He’s probably missing a few things I suspect, especially with regards to the role of speculators and price, but his overall points don’t really depend on each specific being totally correct, so I don’t see that as much of a problem, the facts are there.

Pay special attention the US and European natural gas production information, that is something many people are not willing to even face up to, for obvious reasons, there are simply no replacements out there.

I’d embed the video, but I’m not sure about that site’s policies about embedding so just click the link above to see it.

Putin Speech at Davos 2009

Sunday, March 8th, 2009

You have to watch this speech by Vladimir Putin at Davos recently, it was the introduction, and he totally rips into the assembled group for their grotesquely irresponsible financial mismanagement, pointing out such gems as: the losses from the biggest financial entities now total more than their profits for the last 25 years.

But watch it yourself, and ask yourself, ok, why don’t I hear our politicians talking like this? (Youtube page, or, read a WSJ transcript)

Also, make sure to watch the latest interview with Dmitri Orlov, who seems to be getting a bit more serious as things get… well, a bit more serious. That’s an unusually intelligent interviewer asking reasonable questions, not at all your typical talking head. Word is definitely getting out.

I think there is something seriously wrong in Oz just about now, and it’s not looking like it’s getting better, and it won’t get better until the banking lobbies are stripped of their powers. I mean, let’s get real, they have no power beyond the tax payer funded support and bailouts, so let’s stop pretending, the game is over, and there isn’t an extra chair for them to sit down at.

The age of entitlement needs to come to an end, it was fun, now it’s time to get to work again.

The Investment Delusion… and every other self-delusion…

Sunday, March 1st, 2009

I liked parts of this recent blog posting by John Michael Greer, I think he really helps explain this situation as it’s unfolding, without the massive self-delusion that seems to fill most other people who are currently in power.

We are thus entering a period of prolonged economic contraction – not a recession, or even a depression, but a change in the fundamental dynamic of the economy. Over the centuries just past, a rising tide of economic growth was interrupted by occasional periods of contraction; over the centuries ahead, the long decline of the industrial economy will doubtless be interrupted by occasional periods of relative prosperity. Just as a rising tide lifts all boats, a falling tide lowers them all, and if the tide goes out far enough, a great many boats will end up high and dry.

The desperate attempt by full-time and part-time members of the rentier class to avoid dealing with this unwelcome reality has had the ironic result of making the situation much worse than it had to be. As actual investments in productive economic activities stopped yielding a noticeable profit, more and more investors sought to make money via a menagerie of exotic financial livestock notable for their complete disconnection from the economy of goods and services. The result was a series of classic speculative bubbles, culminating in the crash of 2008 and the crisis still unfolding around us. In the process, eager investors who might have lost their money slowly over a period of years have, instead, lost it all at once.

Continued under the fold
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